Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15+H BAGNOLES DE L'ORNE (FRANCE), CLAY (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Alexey Vatutin		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.8	1.9
	1.84	1.93
	1.73	2
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	1.92 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
51.7%

Corentin Denolly
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexey Vatutin - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Denolly will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Recent matches Vatutin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Denolly is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
26.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Gergely Madarasz	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Valerio Perruzza	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Matt Ponchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Corentin Denolly
ITF Tournaments
26.01.24	Corentin Denolly - Nathan Seateun	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Corentin Denolly - Louis Dussin	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Corentin Denolly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
22.12.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Pietro Pampanin - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

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