Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Jacob Fearnley		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.30	3.20
	1.31	3.20
	1.29	3.05
	1.30	3.21	Watch
	1.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.31)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
70.9%

Daniil Glinka
29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jacob Fearnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Daniil Glinka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jacob Fearnley - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 94., and Glinka is ranked ATP: 178..

Fearnley has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Glinka is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Glinka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Fearnley is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WLWL
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Daniil Glinka - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Moez Echargui - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Daniil Glinka - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

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