Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Aleksandre Bakshi

	1	2
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.22)	1.82 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
49.6%

Aleksandre Bakshi
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Ostapenkov's performance.

Aleksandre Bakshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandre Bakshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Ostapenkov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandre Bakshi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandre Bakshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniil Ostapenkov - Aleksandre Bakshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 737. Bakshi is ranked ATP: 545.

Ostapenkov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bakshi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bakshi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bakshi might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Bakshi will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenkov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
09.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	David Eichenseher - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Daniil Ostapenkov	Parizzia N. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Jannik Opitz - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LW?LW
- Aleksandre Bakshi
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Nikola Djosic - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Zhengyu Sun	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Ivan Gretskiy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0

Daniil Ostapenkov - Aleksandre Bakshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide