Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuning 5 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniil Sarksian		Xing Dao Chen

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Daniil Sarksian
58.6%

Xing Dao Chen
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Sarksian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Xing Dao Chen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Sarksian than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xing Dao Chen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Sarksian is ranked ATP: 923. Chen is ranked ATP: 1336.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Chen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sarksian could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Sarksian
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Ye Cong Mo - Daniil Sarksian	Mo Y. C. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Viktor Frydrych	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Daniil Sarksian	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Grigory Shebekin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LLLW
- Xing Dao Chen
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Sheng Tang - Xing Dao Chen	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - James Van Herzeele	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Daniil Sarksian - Xing Dao Chen