What is the expert prediction for Daniil Sarksian vs Xing Dao Chen?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Daniil Sarksian vs Xing Dao Chen. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Daniil Sarksian vs Xing Dao Chen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, July 09, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Daniil Sarksian		Xing Dao Chen

	1	2
	1.59	2.18
	1.53	2.33
	1.63	2.3
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.61	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Sarksian
58.6%

Xing Dao Chen
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Sarksian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Xing Dao Chen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Sarksian than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xing Dao Chen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sarksian is ranked ATP: 923. Chen is ranked ATP: 1336.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Chen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sarksian could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Sarksian
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Ye Cong Mo - Daniil Sarksian	Mo Y. C. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Viktor Frydrych	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Daniil Sarksian	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Grigory Shebekin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LLLW
- Xing Dao Chen
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Sheng Tang - Xing Dao Chen	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - James Van Herzeele	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL