Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Daniil Sarksian		Xing Dao Chen

	1	2
	1.59	2.18
	1.53	2.33
	1.63	2.3
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.61	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Sarksian
58.6%

Xing Dao Chen
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Sarksian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Xing Dao Chen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Sarksian than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xing Dao Chen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Daniil Sarksian - Xing Dao Chen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sarksian is ranked ATP: 923. Chen is ranked ATP: 1336.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Chen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sarksian could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Sarksian
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Ye Cong Mo - Daniil Sarksian	Mo Y. C. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Viktor Frydrych	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Daniil Sarksian	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Grigory Shebekin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LLLW
- Xing Dao Chen
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Sheng Tang - Xing Dao Chen	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Xing Dao Chen - James Van Herzeele	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Xing Dao Chen - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

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