Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Daria Saville		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.12	1.73
	2.15	1.7
	2.29	1.7
	2.1	1.73
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.39)	1.72 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daria Saville
44.5%

Arantxa Rus
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daria Saville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arantxa Rus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Daria Saville - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Saville will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Rus will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rus: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saville in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rus will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rus to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Saville
WTA Hamburg
27.07.23	Jule Niemeier - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Tamara Korpatsch - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Daria Saville - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Sinja Kraus - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Daria Saville - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Arantxa Rus
WTA Hamburg
27.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Nadia Podoroska	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
WTA Palermo
18.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

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