Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Darian King		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	6.12	1.10	Watch
			Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (1.83)	1.36 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darian King
28.8%

Andre Ilagan
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darian King has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darian King's form might have worsened.

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andre Ilagan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darian King than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darian King, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darian King - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

King is ranked ATP: 2121. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 422.

King has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilagan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

King may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, King won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darian King
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Erik Arutiunian - Darian King	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Darian King - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Hady Habib - Darian King	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Benjamin Hassan - Darian King	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Arthur Fery - Darian King	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WW?LL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Yibing Wu - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.01.24	Darian King - Andre Ilagan	1:2

Darian King - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide