Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Darja Semenistaja		Carole Monnet

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.5
	1.32	3.1
	1.35	3.31
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
71%

Carole Monnet
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darja Semenistaja's performance.

Carole Monnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carole Monnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darja Semenistaja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carole Monnet than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carole Monnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darja Semenistaja - Carole Monnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 112. Monnet is ranked WTA: 178.

In recent matches, Semenistaja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monnet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Semenistaja won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Carole Monnet - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- Carole Monnet
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Greetje Minnen - Carole Monnet	Minnen G. Retired ✺
WTA Stuttgart
11.04.26	Gabriela Knutson - Carole Monnet	2:1 ✺
WTA Linz
05.04.26	Carole Monnet - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
30.03.26	Carole Monnet - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
06.01.25	Darja Semenistaja - Carole Monnet	1:2
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Carole Monnet - Darja Semenistaja	0:2
ITF Tournaments
21.01.24	Darja Semenistaja - Carole Monnet	Monnet C. retired
19.02.23	Darja Semenistaja - Carole Monnet	1:2

Darja Semenistaja - Carole Monnet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide