Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Darja Semenistaja		Lisa Pigato

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.47
	1.51	2.43	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	2.38 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
60.6%

Lisa Pigato
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darja Semenistaja's performance.

Lisa Pigato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lisa Pigato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darja Semenistaja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lisa Pigato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Semenistaja (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Darja Semenistaja will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 98. Pigato is ranked WTA: 187.

In recent matches, Semenistaja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pigato is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pigato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Darja Semenistaja - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.51%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
WTA Bogota
03.04.26	Marie Bouzkova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Despina Papamichail - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Darja Semenistaja - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Darja Semenistaja - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Darja Semenistaja - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL
- Lisa Pigato
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Alice Tubello - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato