Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Darja Semenistaja		Lizette Cabrera

	1	2
	1.37	2.75
	1.45	2.6
	1.46	2.65
	1.44	2.85
	1.42	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.44	2.73	Watch
	1.68	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.75)	2.64 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
64.3%

Lizette Cabrera
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darja Semenistaja's performance.

Lizette Cabrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lizette Cabrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darja Semenistaja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lizette Cabrera than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lizette Cabrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Darja Semenistaja - Lizette Cabrera Predictions

Users Predictions: Darja Semenistaja will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darja Semenistaja will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 116. Cabrera is ranked WTA: 206.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cabrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Semenistaja might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Anouk Koevermans - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Jule Niemeier - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Tyra Caterina Grant - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Lizette Cabrera
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Lizette Cabrera	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Elvina Kalieva - Lizette Cabrera	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Lizette Cabrera - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Lizette Cabrera	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Lizette Cabrera - Analu Freitas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Darja Semenistaja - Lizette Cabrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide