Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Darja Vidmanova		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.7	2
	1.68	2.29
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.43)	2.16 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Vidmanova
56.6%

Lucrezia Stefanini
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Vidmanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darja Vidmanova's form might have worsened.

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucrezia Stefanini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darja Vidmanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Darja Vidmanova - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Users Predictions: Darja Vidmanova will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 119. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 169.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vidmanova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vidmanova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Vidmanova
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Darja Vidmanova - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Eva Vedder	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Gina Feistel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Darja Vidmanova	0:2

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