Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Brescia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Darya Astakhova		Noemi Basiletti

	1	2
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.65	2.11
	1.62	2.37
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Astakhova
57.1%

Noemi Basiletti
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Noemi Basiletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Astakhova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noemi Basiletti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darya Astakhova - Noemi Basiletti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Astakhova is ranked WTA: 240. Basiletti is ranked WTA: 325.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Astakhova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Astakhova
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Tyra Caterina Grant - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Chloe Paquet - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Darya Astakhova - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Xinyu Gao - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Julie Struplova - Darya Astakhova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL
- Noemi Basiletti
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Radka Zelnickova - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Beatrice Ricci	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Gabriela Ce	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Noemi Basiletti - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Darya Astakhova - Noemi Basiletti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide