Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Foggia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Xinyu Gao		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.23
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
58.8%

Darya Astakhova
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Xinyu Gao - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 233. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 277.

Gao has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astakhova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gao will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Xinyu Gao - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.87%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Xinyu Gao - Harmony Tan	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Darja Vidmanova - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	Gao X. Retired ✺
28.04.26	Polona Hercog - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Varvara Panshina - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?LL
- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Julie Struplova - Darya Astakhova	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Darya Astakhova - Martyna Kubka	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Darya Astakhova - Karine Sarkisova	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Darya Astakhova - Ekaterina Maklakova	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Darya Astakhova - Alexandra Shubladze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Xinyu Gao - Darya Astakhova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide