Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: EASTBOURNE (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: EASTBOURNE (UNITED KINGDOM) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:15	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	SportKlub
Croatia	17:15	SportKlub
Denmark	17:15	TV2 Sport
Finland	18:15	CMore, CMore Sport
France	17:15	beIN Sports
Greece	18:15	Nova Sports
Hungary	17:15	Match 4
Poland	17:15	CANAL+ Sport
Romania	18:15	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	17:15	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:15	SportKlub
Ukraine	18:15	Setanta Sports


	Darya Kasatkina		Caroline Garcia

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	1.97	1.84
	1.94	1.87
	2	1.91
	1.95	1.85
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.53)	1.86 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
48.7%

Caroline Garcia
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darya Kasatkina's performance.

Caroline Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caroline Garcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Garcia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caroline Garcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Darya Kasatkina - Caroline Garcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Garcia will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Garcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Eastbourne
28.06.23	Darya Kasatkina - Karolina Pliskova	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Darya Kasatkina - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.23	Darya Kasatkina - Petra Martic	Canceled ✺
WTA Roland Garros
04.06.23	Elina Svitolina - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
02.06.23	Peyton Stearns - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?LW
- Caroline Garcia
WTA Eastbourne
28.06.23	Ana Bogdan - Caroline Garcia	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Madison Brengle - Caroline Garcia	0:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
24.06.23	Caroline Garcia - Petra Kvitova	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Caroline Garcia - Jaimee Fourlis	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Caroline Garcia - Sabine Lisicki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
05.11.22	Caroline Garcia - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA San Jose
04.08.21	Darya Kasatkina - Caroline Garcia	2:1
WTA Wuhan
22.09.19	Darya Kasatkina - Caroline Garcia	0:2
WTA Tokyo 2
18.09.17	Caroline Garcia - Darya Kasatkina	Canceled

Darya Kasatkina - Caroline Garcia