Match Info

Date: 15 June 2022, Wednesday


	Darya Kasatkina		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.55	1.52
	2.55	1.47
	2.74	1.52
	2.5	1.53
	2.66	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.12)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
36.6%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Darya Kasatkina - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasatkina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alexandrova is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Alexandrova to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Berlin
13.06.22	Darya Kasatkina - Anhelina Kalinina	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.22	Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
01.06.22	Veronika Kudermetova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
30.05.22	Darya Kasatkina - Camila Giorgi	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Shelby Rogers - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Berlin
14.06.22	Maryna Zanevska - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
10.06.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
09.06.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Prague
11.08.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina	Canceled
WTA St Petersburg
11.02.20	Darya Kasatkina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2
WTA Beijing
03.10.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

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