Match Info

Date: 13 January 2022, Thursday


	Darya Kasatkina		Garbine Muguruza

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.47
	2.74	1.52
	2.38	1.57
	2.85	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.34)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
36.4%

Garbine Muguruza
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Garbine Muguruza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garbine Muguruza than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.5%	0%	84.5%

Darya Kasatkina - Garbine Muguruza Predictions

Users Predictions: Garbine Muguruza will win (49 of 58 users predict this - 84.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.16% – 93.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasatkina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Muguruza is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Muguruza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muguruza will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Muguruza to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Sydney
11.01.22	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
10.01.22	Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Melbourne Summer Set 2
07.01.22	Amanda Anisimova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
06.01.22	Darya Kasatkina - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
05.01.22	Darya Kasatkina - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Garbine Muguruza
WTA Sydney
11.01.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
17.11.21	Garbine Muguruza - Anett Kontaveit	2:0 ✺
16.11.21	Paula Badosa - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Garbine Muguruza - Anett Kontaveit	2:0 ✺
12.11.21	Barbora Krejcikova - Garbine Muguruza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
23.02.20	Garbine Muguruza - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Madrid
09.05.18	Garbine Muguruza - Darya Kasatkina	1:2
WTA Dubai
23.02.18	Darya Kasatkina - Garbine Muguruza	2:1
WTA Brisbane
03.01.17	Darya Kasatkina - Garbine Muguruza	1:2
WTA Marrakech
28.04.15	Garbine Muguruza - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

Darya Kasatkina - Garbine Muguruza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide