Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Darya Kasatkina		Tamara Korpatsch

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.39	3.25
	1.35	3.11	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.35	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.16 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
70.1%

Tamara Korpatsch
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Tamara Korpatsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamara Korpatsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch Predictions

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 75. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 99.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kasatkina could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Daria Snigur - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Caroline Werner - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Katie Volynets - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide