Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday


	Darya Kasatkina		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.22	4.35
	1.22	4.25
	1.25	4.34
	1.22	4.2
	1.22	4.3	Watch
	1.24	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	4.27 ↑ (3.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
77.7%

Varvara Gracheva
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Darya Kasatkina - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kasatkina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Darya Kasatkina - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
11.08.23	Darya Kasatkina - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Marie Bouzkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Varvara Gracheva - Caroline Wozniacki	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Varvara Gracheva - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Varvara Gracheva - Anna Danilina	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
07.08.23	Varvara Gracheva - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
29.07.23	Varvara Gracheva - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
13.03.23	Varvara Gracheva - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA Australian Open
18.01.23	Darya Kasatkina - Varvara Gracheva	0:2
WTA Melbourne Phillip Island Trophy
14.02.21	Varvara Gracheva - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

Darya Kasatkina - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide