Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MONTREAL (CANADA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis


	Elise Mertens		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.48	1.54
	2.45	1.53
	2.57	1.55
	2.38	1.57
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
38.2%

Darya Kasatkina
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kasatkina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kasatkina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Washington
31.07.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Hopman Cup
21.07.23	Elise Mertens - Rebeka Masarova	2:1 ✺
20.07.23	Elise Mertens - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.23	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Elise Mertens - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Washington
02.08.23	Elina Svitolina - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Palermo
21.07.23	Darya Kasatkina - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Darya Kasatkina - Tatiana Prozorova	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Darya Kasatkina - Martina Trevisan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Washington
31.07.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Miami
23.03.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Sydney
11.01.22	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA San Jose
07.08.21	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.19	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA New Haven
22.08.17	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	0:2

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