Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	David Goffin		Dennis Novak

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.43	2.8
	1.38	2.8
	1.43	2.92
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	2.88 ↓ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
67.3%

Dennis Novak
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

David Goffin - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goffin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Leandro Riedi - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	David Goffin - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	David Goffin - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
01.08.23	David Goffin - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	David Goffin - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
08.08.23	Dennis Novak - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
01.08.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Joel Josef Schwarzler - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Dennis Novak - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL

David Goffin - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide