Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	David Goffin		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.24
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.13	Watch
	1.32	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	3.11 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
69.9%

Francesco Passaro
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

David Goffin - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Goffin is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Goffin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
30.10.23	David Goffin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Arthur Fery - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
25.10.23	Gijs Brouwer - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Kyrian Jacquet - David Goffin	Canceled ✺
ATP Antwerp
18.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLW?L
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Francesco Passaro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Francesco Passaro - Benjamin Hassan	Canceled ✺
26.09.23	Francesco Passaro - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Francesco Passaro - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Maximilian Marterer - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?LL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Florence
11.10.22	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	Canceled

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