Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday


	Davide Pontoglio		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.58	2.13
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.87)	2.27 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Davide Pontoglio
59%

Valerio Aboian
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Davide Pontoglio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Davide Pontoglio's performance.

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Davide Pontoglio than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Davide Pontoglio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Davide Pontoglio - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: Davide Pontoglio will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pontoglio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aboian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aboian could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Davide Pontoglio
ITF Tournaments
26.10.22	Elio Jose Ribeiro Lago - Davide Pontoglio	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Davide Pontoglio	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Enrique Pena - Davide Pontoglio	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Davide Pontoglio - Nicolas Buitrago	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Davide Pontoglio - Benjamin Denis Alarcon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Valerio Aboian
ITF Tournaments
26.10.22	Elbert Barr - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
19.10.22	Lorenzo Esquici - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Yan Bondarevskiy - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
01.09.22	Luigi Sorrentino - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	Jaka Protic Zakelj - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLW

Davide Pontoglio - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide