Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Dayana Yastremska		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.44	1.62
	2.26	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.32	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.44)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayana Yastremska
41.3%

Ludmilla Samsonova
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dayana Yastremska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Dayana Yastremska - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yastremska will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Samsonova will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yastremska: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Yastremska (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Samsonova (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yastremska is ranked WTA: 48. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 18.

Yastremska has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Samsonova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Samsonova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Samsonova will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayana Yastremska
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Destanee Aiava	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Dayana Yastremska - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Francesca Jones - Dayana Yastremska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Mayar Sherif - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
24.05.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Danielle Collins - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW

Dayana Yastremska - Ludmilla Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide