Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Strasbourg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Paula Badosa		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.67	2.17	Watch
	1.72	2.25
	1.65	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
56%

Ludmilla Samsonova
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludmilla Samsonova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Samsonova will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 4 - 40%). Samsonova (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Badosa (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Samsonova (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 10. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 19.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Strasbourg
20.05.25	Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova	Bouzkova M. retired ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Alexandra Eala - Paula Badosa	Eala A. walkover ✺
23.03.25	Clara Tauson - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ????W
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Strasbourg
20.05.25	Diane Parry - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Washington
01.08.24	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	Samsonova L. retired
WTA Dubai
19.02.23	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Abu Dhabi
07.02.23	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	Canceled
WTA Australian Open
08.02.21	Ludmilla Samsonova - Paula Badosa	2:1

Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide