Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Makinohara, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Dayeon Back		Ayano Shimizu

	1	2
	1.35	2.95
	1.29	3.21	Watch
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	3.14 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayeon Back
70.3%

Ayano Shimizu
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayeon Back has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dayeon Back's performance.

Ayano Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayano Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayeon Back than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dayeon Back that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayano Shimizu than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayano Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dayeon Back - Ayano Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Back is ranked WTA: 318. Shimizu is ranked WTA: 354.

Back is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Back may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Back will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Back won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ayano Shimizu - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayeon Back
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Dayeon Back - Eunhye Lee	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Dayeon Back - Meng Yi Chen	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Dayeon Back - Carol Young Suh Lee	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Dayeon Back - Ekaterina Reyngold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Ayano Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Ayano Shimizu - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Ayano Shimizu - Hayu Kinoshita	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Ayano Shimizu - Kisa Yoshioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Ayano Shimizu - Kyoka Okamura	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Ayano Shimizu - Kristiana Sidorova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.11.24	Ayano Shimizu - Dayeon Back	1:2

Dayeon Back - Ayano Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide