Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Changwon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Dayeon Back		Rinko Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.46
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	1.29	3.2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)	2.96 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayeon Back
68.2%

Rinko Matsuda
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayeon Back has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dayeon Back's performance.

Rinko Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rinko Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayeon Back than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dayeon Back that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinko Matsuda than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rinko Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Back is ranked WTA: 332. Matsuda is ranked WTA: 531.

In recent matches, Back has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Matsuda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Matsuda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Back is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Back won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayeon Back
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Sohyun Park - Dayeon Back	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Dayeon Back - Malaika Rapolu	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Dayeon Back - Jiangxue Han	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Dayeon Back - Jenna Defalco	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Rinko Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
03.05.26	Sohyun Park - Rinko Matsuda	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Rinko Matsuda - Jaeda Daniel	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Kayo Nishimura - Rinko Matsuda	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Seo Yun Choi - Rinko Matsuda	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Rinko Matsuda - Elena Micic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda	0:2
29.10.25	Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda	2:0
20.03.25	Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda	2:0

Dayeon Back - Rinko Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide