Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 5, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Deborah Chiesa		Elena Ruxandra Bertea

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.65
	2.27	1.42	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
41.2%

Elena Ruxandra Bertea
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Elena Ruxandra Bertea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Ruxandra Bertea than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Deborah Chiesa - Elena Ruxandra Bertea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 513. Bertea is ranked WTA: 286.

Now, both players are in good form.

Bertea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bertea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bertea will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Ruxandra Bertea - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.47%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Natalija Senic - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Cindy Langlais - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Deborah Chiesa - Ania Hertel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- Elena Ruxandra Bertea
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Luna Vujovic - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Allegra Fiorani - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Emma Mazzoni - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Iryna Shymanovich - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

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