Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Solarino 3, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Deborah Chiesa		Fiona Ganz

	1	2
	1.12	4.99
	1.11	5.67
	1.13	5.00	Watch
	1.14	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.3)	5.09 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
81.9%

Fiona Ganz
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deborah Chiesa's performance.

Fiona Ganz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiona Ganz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deborah Chiesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiona Ganz than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiona Ganz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deborah Chiesa - Fiona Ganz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiesa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 629. Ganz is ranked WTA: 681.

Chiesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ganz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chiesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chiesa is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Julia Stusek - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Vlada Mincheva	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Aurora Nosei	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Giulia Paterno	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alina Granwehr - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Fiona Ganz
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Fiona Ganz - Camilla Zanolini	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Federica Di Sarra - Fiona Ganz	Di Sarra F. retired ✺
13.11.25	Carolina Gasparini - Fiona Ganz	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Ylenia Zocco - Fiona Ganz	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Fiona Ganz - Kseniia Ruchkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?WWL

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