Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Oldenzaal, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Deborah Chiesa		Jana Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.75	1.35
	2.84	1.44
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.76	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.03)	1.39 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
33.7%

Jana Kovackova
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deborah Chiesa's form might have worsened.

Jana Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jana Kovackova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deborah Chiesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jana Kovackova than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jana Kovackova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deborah Chiesa - Jana Kovackova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 328. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 434.

Chiesa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kovackova is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kovackova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kovackova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Kovackova will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Deborah Chiesa - Anastasia Zolotareva	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Eva Bennemann - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Deborah Chiesa - Andreea Prisacariu	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jana Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Xinyu Gao - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Alena Kovackova - Jana Kovackova	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Jana Kovackova	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Denisa Zoldakova - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Jana Kovackova - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

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