Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Deborah Chiesa		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.50
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.72	1.55
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.51	1.56	Watch
	2.40	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.3)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
37.8%

Lucia Bronzetti
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Deborah Chiesa - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 354. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 139.

Chiesa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Bronzetti has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bronzetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bronzetti might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Lola Radivojevic - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Lina Gjorcheska - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Aneta Laboutkova	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Teodora Kostovic - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Georgina Garcia Perez	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Lina Gjorcheska - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

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