Match Info

Date: 13 June 2021, Sunday


	Denis Kudla		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.32	1.52
	2.45	1.59
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.83)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
38.7%

Francis Tiafoe
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Kudla's performance.

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Kudla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Denis Kudla - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kudla will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Kudla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kudla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
12.06.21	Denis Kudla - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
11.06.21	Daniel Evans - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
09.06.21	Liam Broady - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
07.06.21	Tomas Machac - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.21	Denis Kudla - Evan Furness	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Challenger
12.06.21	Marius Copil - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
11.06.21	Evgeny Donskoy - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
09.06.21	Illya Marchenko - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
07.06.21	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.21	Steve Johnson - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Kudla	0:2
02.02.17	Denis Kudla - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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