Match Info

Date: 9 June 2021, Wednesday


	Illya Marchenko		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.6	1.51
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.92)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
35.4%

Francis Tiafoe
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Illya Marchenko - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marchenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
08.06.21	Federico Gaio - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.21	Illya Marchenko - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
26.05.21	Andrey Kuznetsov - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
24.05.21	Brayden Schnur - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
15.05.21	Marco Cecchinato - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Challenger
07.06.21	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.21	Steve Johnson - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
ATP Parma
24.05.21	Marco Cecchinato - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.21	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Delbonis	Tiafoe F. retired ✺
08.05.21	Francis Tiafoe - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WL??W

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