Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Denis Kudla		Learner Tien

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.08	1.4
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.62)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
31.9%

Learner Tien
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Denis Kudla - Learner Tien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudla is ranked ATP: 241. Tien is ranked ATP: 148.

Two players are playing changeable.

Kudla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tien will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.6%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Denis Kudla - Goncalo Oliveira	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Denis Kudla - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Denis Kudla - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
19.09.24	Denis Kudla - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Denis Kudla - Micah Braswell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW
- Learner Tien
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Micah Braswell - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Govind Nanda - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Tristan Boyer - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Learner Tien	Tien L. walkover ✺
23.09.24	Jules Marie - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWL?W

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