Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Denis Petak		Eero Vasa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.33
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.39
	3.74	1.25	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (1.84)	1.41 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Petak
32.5%

Eero Vasa
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Petak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Petak's form might have worsened.

Eero Vasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eero Vasa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Petak than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Petak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eero Vasa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Petak is ranked ATP: 1158. Vasa is ranked ATP: 502.

Recent performances by Petak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Petak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vasa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Vasa will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Eero Vasa - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Petak
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Adrien Gobat - Denis Petak	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Rafael Kis Balazs - Denis Petak	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Kacper Szymkowiak - Denis Petak	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Denis Petak	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Pepijn Bastiaansen - Denis Petak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Eero Vasa
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Adrien Gobat - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Aleksander Orlikowski - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Denis Petak - Eero Vasa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide