Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Denis Yevseyev		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)	2.19 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
57.6%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Denis Yevseyev - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yevseyev: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Yevseyev is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basilashvili is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yevseyev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yevseyev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Denis Yevseyev - Richard Berankis	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Denis Yevseyev - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Denis Yevseyev - Adrian Oetzbach	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.24	Radu Albot - Denis Yevseyev	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.24	Denis Yevseyev - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLW?L
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Enzo Wallart - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL

Denis Yevseyev - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide