Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: QUIMPER (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday


	Dennis Novak		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.43	2.55
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
64.5%

Damir Dzumhur
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Dennis Novak - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Novak is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dzumhur is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Novak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
12.01.23	Dennis Novak - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Dennis Novak - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Dennis Novak - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
09.01.23	Dennis Novak - Henri Squire	2:0
07.01.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Max Purcell - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
04.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Jeremy Jin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.08.22	Damir Dzumhur - Dennis Novak	0:2

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