Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NOUMEA (NEW CALEDONIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday


	Damir Dzumhur		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.09	1.63
	2.12	1.75
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.08	1.71	Watch
	2.18	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.75)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
44%

Ryan Peniston
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Damir Dzumhur - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
04.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Jeremy Jin	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Taisei Ichikawa	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Colin Sinclair - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Kaichi Uchida - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
23.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
21.11.22	Ryan Peniston - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Yannick Hanfmann - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Damir Dzumhur - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide