Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Dennis Novak		Gerald Melzer

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.68	2.15
	1.65	2.06
	1.72	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.66	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)	2.13 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
56%

Gerald Melzer
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.

Gerald Melzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gerald Melzer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerald Melzer than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Dennis Novak - Gerald Melzer Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Melzer will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
03.05.22	Dennis Novak - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Dennis Novak - Constant Lestienne	Novak D. retired ✺
26.04.22	Dennis Novak - Lukas Klein	2:0
26.04.22	Dennis Novak - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
21.04.22	Javier Barranco Cosano - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?W?L
- Gerald Melzer
ATP Challenger
03.05.22	Borna Gojo - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
19.04.22	Gerald Melzer - Ernesto Escobedo	1:2 ✺
12.04.22	Gerald Melzer - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
07.04.22	Nicolas Jarry - Gerald Melzer	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Nicolas Barrientos - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Dennis Novak - Gerald Melzer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide