Match Info

Date: 8 March 2021, Monday


	Dennis Novak		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.42
	1.6	2.48
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)	2.49 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
61.8%

Hugo Gaston
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dennis Novak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	0%	16.9%

Dennis Novak - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (74 of 89 users predict this - 83.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.37% – 90.93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Montpellier
26.02.21	Dennis Novak - Peter Gojowczyk	0:2 ✺
25.02.21	Dusan Lajovic - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Dennis Novak - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.02.21	Adrian Mannarino - Dennis Novak	3:0 ✺
ATP Cup
05.02.21	Dennis Novak - Nicolas Mahut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Montpellier
22.02.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.02.21	Hugo Gaston - Lukas Rosol	1:2 ✺
12.02.21	Hugo Gaston - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
10.02.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
09.02.21	Julian Lenz - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Dennis Novak - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide