Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: QUIMPER (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 January 2023, Thursday


	Dennis Novak		Lucas Pouille

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.33
	1.52	2.55
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
62.1%

Lucas Pouille
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Dennis Novak - Lucas Pouille Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Pouille will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Pouille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novak will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
25.01.23	Dennis Novak - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Dennis Novak - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
12.01.23	Dennis Novak - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Dennis Novak - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Dennis Novak - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W?LWW
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
25.01.23	Lucas Pouille - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Alafia Ayeni - Lucas Pouille	Pouille L. retired ✺
08.01.23	Jakub Mensik - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Mats Moraing - Lucas Pouille	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Alfredo Perez - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WLW

Dennis Novak - Lucas Pouille: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide