Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Seoul (South Korea), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Diana Shnaider		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.09	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.79
	2.07	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.69)	1.75 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diana Shnaider
45.4%

Marta Kostyuk
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diana Shnaider's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Diana Shnaider - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shnaider is ranked WTA: 16. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 18.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Shnaider could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Kostyuk to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diana Shnaider
WTA Seoul
18.09.24	Diana Shnaider - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.24	Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sara Errani - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Clara Tauson - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Nadia Podoroska - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Seoul
18.09.24	Heather Watson - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Arantxa Rus - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.24	Emma Navarro - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Harriet Dart - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	McCartney Kessler - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Diana Shnaider - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide