Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2	1.89
	1.94	1.78	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.26)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
49.1%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diego Dedura-Palomero's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Dedura-Palomero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Diego Dedura Palomero - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 1 - 50%). Varillas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Varillas (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Varillas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 311. Varillas is ranked ATP: 280.

In recent matches, Dedura-Palomero has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varillas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dedura-Palomero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Varillas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Guy Den Ouden - Diego Dedura-Palomero	Den Ouden G. retired ✺
23.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?WWL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Aguilar Cardozo J. retired ✺
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WL?L

Diego Dedura-Palomero - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide