Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53%

Lautaro Midon
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Midon will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varillas: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 2 - 50%). Midon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 280. Midon is ranked ATP: 226.

Varillas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Midon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Midon will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varillas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 L?LLW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dante Pagani - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:1

Upcoming Matches