Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15+H Tauste (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday


	Diego Fernandez Flores		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.23	1.56
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.22	1.61	Watch
	2.23	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.63)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Fernandez Flores
40.9%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Fernandez Flores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diego Fernandez Flores's performance.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Dylan Hara Friend might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Fernandez Flores than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Fernandez Flores that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Dylan Hara Friend could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diego Fernandez Flores - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez Flores is ranked ATP: 677. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 998.

Fernandez Flores is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hara Friend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hara Friend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hara Friend will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fernandez Flores won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Fernandez Flores
ITF Tournaments
06.08.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Francisco Rocha - Diego Fernandez Flores	Rocha F. retired ✺
25.07.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Karol Malirz	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?WWL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ITF Tournaments
06.08.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Karl Lee	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Enzo Wallart - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

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