Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Diletta Cherubini		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.4	1.19
	4.3	1.18	Watch
	4.72	1.2
	3.05	1.35	Watch
	4.27	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.97)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diletta Cherubini
22.4%

Alina Charaeva
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diletta Cherubini's form might have worsened.

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diletta Cherubini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Diletta Cherubini - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Charaeva (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cherubini is ranked WTA: 399. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 159.

Cherubini is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Charaeva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Charaeva is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Cherubini will win today's game, with odds of 4.45.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diletta Cherubini
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Diletta Cherubini - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	En Shuo Liang - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Yuki Naito - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Diletta Cherubini - Ekaterina Reyngold	Cherubini D. retired ✺
31.08.25	Diletta Cherubini - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWW?W
- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	En Shuo Liang - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Alina Charaeva	Charaeva A. walkover ✺
03.09.25	Alina Charaeva - Zhibek Kulambayeva	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva	Zhang Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WL?W?

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