Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Xinyu Gao		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.14	1.63
	2.1	1.59
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
43.5%

Alina Charaeva
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Xinyu Gao - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gao will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Charaeva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Gao (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Gao (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gao (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 142. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 194.

Gao is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Charaeva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Chloe Paquet	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Xinyu Gao - Ella Seidel	Gao X. retired ✺
29.07.25	Xinyu Gao - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWL?W
- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Alina Charaeva - Zhibek Kulambayeva	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva	Zhang Y. retired ✺
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Alina Charaeva - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Monika Ekstrand - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Alina Charaeva - Xinyu Gao	1:2
04.11.23	Alina Charaeva - Xinyu Gao	2:0

Xinyu Gao - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide