Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Queretaro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Diletta Cherubini		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.12	1.37
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.83	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)	1.37 (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diletta Cherubini
31.9%

Jessica Pieri
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diletta Cherubini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cherubini is ranked WTA: 392. Pieri is ranked WTA: 255.

In recent matches, Cherubini has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pieri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pieri is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Pieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cherubini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diletta Cherubini
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Martina Trevisan	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Caroline Dolehide - Diletta Cherubini	Cherubini D. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Dana Guzman	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Lea Ma - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Jaedan Brown - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W?LLW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Natalia Sousa Salazar - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Cadence Brace	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Katrina Scott - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri	Pieri J. retired
06.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri	2:1
17.09.22	Jessica Pieri - Diletta Cherubini	2:0

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