Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Kursumlijska Banja (Serbia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja (Serbia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Diletta Cherubini		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.65
	2.15	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diletta Cherubini
44.3%

Lia Karatancheva
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diletta Cherubini's form might have worsened.

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lia Karatancheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diletta Cherubini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lia Karatancheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Cherubini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karatancheva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatancheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diletta Cherubini
ITF Tournaments
07.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Melania Delai	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Despina Papamichail - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWWW
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Hanna Chang - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Lia Karatancheva - Liv Hovde	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Lia Karatancheva - Sophie Chang	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Lia Karatancheva - Sapfo Sakellaridi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diletta Cherubini
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Diletta Cherubini - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	✺

Diletta Cherubini - Lia Karatancheva

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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