Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Diogo Marques		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	3.7	1.22
	3.6	1.22
	4.04	1.21
	3.79	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.96	1.23	Watch
	3.7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.38)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diogo Marques
24.4%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diogo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diogo Marques than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diogo Marques, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Marques is ranked ATP: 933. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 600.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Marques could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gonzalez Fernandez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
10.10.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Diogo Marques	N/A ✺
09.10.24	Daniel Batista - Diogo Marques	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Jack Loge - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Diogo Marques - Carles Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 L?WLW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Duarte Vale	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	N/A ✺
09.10.24	Lewie Lane - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Christian Lerby - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LW?WL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Diogo Marques - Sergio Callejon Hernando	✺

Diogo Marques - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide