Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dmitry Popko		Timo Stodder

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.75	2.01	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
49.3%

Timo Stodder
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Timo Stodder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timo Stodder than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Dmitry Popko - Timo Stodder Predictions

Users Predictions: Dmitry Popko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

Popko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Stodder is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stodder could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
09.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
08.01.24	Leonardo Aboian - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
08.01.24	Alexis Gurmendi - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.12.23	Dmitry Popko - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Dmitry Popko - Evgenii Tiurnev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Timo Stodder
ATP Challenger
09.01.24	Timo Stodder - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
29.11.23	Daniel Rincon - Timo Stodder	2:0 ✺
27.11.23	Lukas Neumayer - Timo Stodder	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.11.23	Timo Stodder - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Timo Stodder - Sarp Agabigun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Dmitry Popko - James MacKinlay	✺

Dmitry Popko - Timo Stodder