Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Dominic Stephan Stricker		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.19
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.18	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dominic Stephan Stricker
55.5%

Francesco Passaro
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominic Stephan Stricker's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominic Stephan Stricker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dominic Stephan Stricker - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stricker will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Passaro will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Stricker is ranked ATP: 357. Passaro is ranked ATP: 200.

Stricker has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Passaro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Dominic Stephan Stricker - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Marat Sharipov - Dominic Stephan Stricker	Stricker D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLW?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWL?L

Upcoming Matches